AI Futures Project

We are interested in mentoring projects in AI forecasting, governance, and AI strategy broadly. Potential projects include but aren't limited to:

1. Scenario writing: Writing scenarios that branch off of AI 2027 or AI 2040, or that look at other important worlds and dynamics we think would be worth playing out.
2. Policy research: Improving some of the policy ideas in AI 2040: Plan A and coming up with other policy ideas for different plans, for instance what good domestic regulation would look like in Plan B and Plan C, or versions of Plan A that work with less political will, etc. We're also open to people coming up with near-term policy recommendations or government asks that seem good on their own, or that help set up the world to do things like Plan A or a slowdown/pause in the future.
3. Modeling / forecasting: We're potentially interested in people helping build or improve our modeling efforts. This could look like helping improve our economic modeling for scenarios, our timelines and takeoff modeling, compute modeling, or just generally thinking about variables that could have big impacts on the world during the intelligence explosion and modeling and forecasting how they'll go, etc.
4. Other types of strategy research: We're open to people thinking about other kinds of AI strategy work, for instance space governance, how bad concentration of power is relative to takeover risk, model spec research, etc.