AI Futures Project
We are interested in mentoring projects in AI forecasting and governance. This work would build on the AI 2027 report to either do more scenario forecasting or explore how to positively affect key decision points, informed by our scenario.
Stream overview
We are interested in mentoring projects in AI forecasting and governance. Potential projects include but aren't limited to:
- Scenario forecasting: Writing scenarios that branch off of our mainline AI 2027 scenario, exploring what might happen if important variables are changed. This could include detailed concrete threat modeling or detailed theories of victory.
- Improve and run tabletop exercises (TTXs): We've created a TTX that many have found valuable, for which we'd like to expand the range of audiences that enjoy it and scale it to more people.
- Policy strategy research e.g. menu for the intelligence explosion: Creating a menu of policy options for soon after AGI is developed.
- Targeted policy research: Do research to inform policymakers based on what seems important and in-demand.
SF Bay Area
Mentors
Romeo 正与 AI 未来项目合作，预测详细的 AI 发展情景并制定政策建议。他主要关注算力与安全领域的预测。此前，他曾是 IAPS 政策研究员，并在哈佛大学同时攻读计算机科学硕士学位，研究方向为系统与硬件。
Thomas 是 AI 未来项目的研究员，也是广受关注的 AI 2027 情景预测报告的共同作者。他此前创立了 AI 安全倡导组织 Center for AI Policy，并曾在机器智能研究所开展 AI 安全研究。
Daniel is working on forecasting detailed AI scenarios with Eli Lifland, Thomas Larsen, Jonas Vollmer, and Romeo Dean.
Eli is working on AI scenario forecasting with the AI Futures Project, where he co-authored AI 2027. He advises Sage, an organization he cofounded that works on AI Digest (interactive AI explainers) and forecasting tools. He previously worked on the AI-powered research assistant Elicit.
Fellows we are looking for
The most important characteristics include:
- Strong reasoning and writing abilities
- Excitement about AI forecasting/governance research
- Autonomous research skills
- Ability to learn quickly
Also important, but not required characteristics include:
- Significant background knowledge in at least one area relevant to AI forecasting and governance (e.g. government experience, technical background, etc.)
- Significant background knowledge in AGI and existential risks
Project selection
We will talk through project ideas with scholar